In a significant political shift, Emily Gregory has won a special election for Florida House District 87, flipping the seat from Republican to Democrat. The election, held on March 24, 2026, saw Gregory lead by 2.4 percentage points, or 797 votes, with nearly all votes counted.
This district, which includes Donald Trump‘s Mar-a-Lago estate, was previously held by Republican Mike Caruso, who resigned to become Palm Beach County clerk. Caruso had won the district by a substantial 19 percentage points in the 2024 election.
Gregory’s victory is particularly notable given that Trump endorsed her opponent, Jon Maples. The results indicate a potential shift in voter sentiment against Trump and Republicans as the midterm elections approach.
Democrats have now flipped a total of 29 seats from Republican control since Trump took office. This election is seen as a bellwether for upcoming contests, with 650 seats in play nationwide.
Gregory, a small business owner with no prior political experience, is expected to seek a full two-year term in November. Her campaign has resonated with voters looking for change.
Reactions to her victory have been swift. Heather Williams remarked, “If Mar-a-Lago is vulnerable, imagine what’s possible this November.” Meanwhile, Ken Martin stated, “Donald Trump’s own neighbors just sent a crystal clear message: They are furious and ready for change.”
Former Florida Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried congratulated Gregory, calling the win “monumental,” while Christine Hunschofsky noted that the victory reflects broader momentum building across Florida.
As the political landscape evolves, this election serves as a critical indicator of shifting dynamics in Florida, a key battleground state.